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ARCHIVES — APRIL 2010

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APRIL 26, 2010 -- MAY 2, 2010

GM REVS UP RENAISSANCE WITH $5.8 BILLION PAYBACK.

Renaissance Center, GM World Headquarters, Detroit, Michigan. Wikipedia file

 

If you live in this area, the fact that GM and Chrysler are doing better than expected is good news, period. Look, I don't care if you hate unions, drive a Japanese car, think Obama is the second coming of Hitler, are stockpiling gold and ammo for the apocalypse - whatever, big deal!

Either GM and Chrysler continue to recover, in which case life around here is a bit better, or they do poorly and things stay the same or get worse. Even if you hate the state and are dying to get out - well, even then, you need the economy here to be better so you can sell your house, so no matter how much you hate the UAW or the crappy domestic car you bought 30 years ago, get over yourself and root for the home team for once... What's with all the haters?

Read the article DETROIT NEWS/GM to invest $275 in Detroit, Kansas plants

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They HAD to be bailed out. If GM went under, it would have made the recession much worse. Think of all the lost jobs at GM, the dealers, the suppliers, etc. The effect on the economy would have been devistating. As distasteful as it is, we had to do it.

Now what is better: the way we bailed out the financial institutions, giving them money with no strings attached (so the people who sank their own ship could hand out huge bonuses to each other), or the way that GM was handled, making the people at the top step down? If we just gave them a pile of money, with no strings attached, there would have been no organizational change, and no chance of ever recovering the bailout money.

If you're going to have to do a bailout, why wouldn't you want to make the people at the top answer for their mistakes? Why isn't this good news that we at least have a chance of our money coming back to us, the taxpayers? GM was bad and made mistakes. But at least they were forced to change in all this
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Read the article DETROIT FREE PRESS/G.M.'S Whiteacre: U.S. may recoup all costs

 

COUNTING ON THE ABACUS AT GOLDMAN SACHS

Gregor Reisch: Madame Arithmatica, 1508, from Wikipedia

I worked on some of these Abacus deals as a corporate lawyer (not for Goldman, but another party). I remember seeing Mr. Egol's name on the giant email lists and seeing it in this article brings me back to those days. The deals were insanely complicated and it never intuitively made sense to me that people would want to invest millions in these "synthetic" transactions. These deals took "making money out of thin air" to a whole new level...

That said, the investors were sophisticated and the offering documents had pages and pages of risk factors, descriptions of conflicts of interests and the dangers of the deals, etc. (That's what lawyers are for after all!) If the SEC manages to prove that by not disclosing Paulson's involvement the investors were "materially misled" then they may yet get a judgment against Tourre and even Goldman, but it will not be an easy case.

It would be satisfying to see Goldman punished for the world of harm they (and their peers) caused to the economy while profiting handsomely at every stage, but the whole mess we are in to begin with is because there were so few clearly applicable rules and only a convoluted and inappropriate oversight system. That's what we have to fix with meaningful financial reform and competent watchdogs. Nothing will change, otherwise.

Read the article NEW YORK TIMES/Top leaders at Goldman had a role in mortgage unit

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It is time that we regulate the financial institutions to the utmost. We have penalized Toyota that has a world-class transparent process and provides a great product. However, the banks smack of a crony system and their processes are not transparent. The resultant lack of checks and balances has led to the global financial crisis.

If Wall Street does not accept the global moral responsibility to change, let us all enforce these changes.

Read the article NEW YORK TIMES/Top leaders at Goldman had a role in mortgage unit

 

APRIL 19, 2010 -- APRIL 25, 2010

"YOUNG, EXHAUSTED AND DISPOSABLE:" LIFE AND WORK IN A CHINESE FACTORY

NATIONAL LABOR COMMITTEE REPORT

This is our problem, and we do have a direct hand in the unacceptable and deplorable working conditions of those people who manufacture the products we purchase.

I admit, I like my toys, and I like to buy them at a low cost. But I have to reconcile my ability to purchase electronics (among other things) at cost less than their actual value, with the effects this price has on the manufacturing/delivery chain.

So for everyone who wants to blame this on capitalism, communism or socialism, your barking up the wrong tree.

Companies want to make money, consumers want stuff cheap. In order make the products cheaper and keep the profit margins up, companies will do just about anything.

Read the article ENGADGET/ National Labor Committee report on Chinese CE factories uncovers deplorable conditions

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As "deplorable" as these working conditions are, it is probably better than the conditions they came from...which is pretty much from nothing.

Going from 0 income to some income for most of these people are probably a lot for them and their families already.

It is true that they should probably have either more pay and better working conditions, but due to the worlds model of putting people into different social classes, it wouldn't happen any time soon.

So do acknowledge their position, but don't show them pity unless you know they are completely unhappy with what they have now, compared to the past.

Read the article ENGADGET/ National Labor Committee report on Chinese CE factories uncovers deplorable conditions

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Why is anyone surprised by this?

How else can you build X gadget for $100 and still make tons of profits for the parent company? You do it on the backs of these workers. They have to get paid sh** and worked to the bone so all the HPs and Samsungs and Apples of the world to rake in ginormous profits.

But apparently it's OK as long as we can get our gadgets on the cheap.

At one point in our history (US), we paid a good wage to workers to produce good products. The companies made good money, the prices were reasonable and we built what we needed.


Now making "good money" isn't good enough. Your margins have to be 10X as high, and your salaries are 10X what they used to be for your top-level executives. Only way to do that is to outsource your manufacturing to the lowest bidder. That lowest bidder has to ship all those jobs to a place that doesn't have the work-rights that we have here.

Read the article ENGADGET/ National Labor Committee report on Chinese CE factories uncovers deplorable conditions

 

I don't doubt for one second that Microsoft is being truthful here. It is extremely common for Chinese companies hired by outsiders to do everything they can to mislead auditors. They keep double books, they give auditors tours of their nice factory, then switch to outsourcing the work to their cousin's sweatshop as soon as they aren't looking. The factories change the design/formula of products to be cheaper/inferior/unsafe on a whim without consulting the US company that they are working for. The local police almost never enforce national labor laws, and are often in bed with the companies.

Citizens need what amounts to a work visa to "immigrate" between districts in China, and I have read reports where workers are required to hand over this documentation and state ID to get a job, so if they leave the compound without it, they will be arrested for illegal immigration. In that case, they aren't just being worked like slaves, they literally are slaves by any practical definition.

There is corruption from end to end, and US companies can't fix that until China gets serious about enforcing it's own laws. The only way to create a quality product in China is to spend more money on oversight than you save by off-shoring. The only way to do business ethically in China is to not do business in China.

Read the article ARS TECHNICA/Microsoft investigates as sweatshop spotlight shines on supplier

 

APRIL 12, 2010 -- APRIL 18, 2010

TWITTER BEGINS TO SING FOR ITS SUPPER

 

I think we have to accept that Twitter really needs to have an income and advertising makes sense. I can also understand why they have been treading carefully with this as they don't want to kill their market.

I can live with ads as long as they don't take over my timeline. However I would be prepared to pay for an ad-free version, particularly if it came with other premium benefits (longer tweets? better facility to sort through followers/following etc) but again that would depend on how much they charged.

Their end-point may be free with adds or paid with no ads - similar model to a lot of other organisations.

Read the article GUARDIAN/Twitter unveils 'promoted tweets' ad plan

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The New York Times report on this says that after a period of trying the "conservative" plan, where advertisements only show up in search results, Twitter will then begin to insert unsolicited ads to users' Twitter streams -- sometimes sending "sponsored Tweets" to you even if you don't follow the advertiser. Twitter says they're going to send you ads based on your interests, which I assume means they'll look at your Tweets and who you follow. Sounds like the end of Twitter as we know it.

While I suppose it's good news that Twitter isn't sending me unsolicited ads as part of their first attempt at advertising, I'll be pretty likely to give up on Twitter if I see ads popping up in my main Twitter stream. That idea is neither "conservative" nor "smart."

Read the article THE ATLANTIC/Twitter's 'promoted ads' biz model is conservative, smart

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Like all technologies, Twitter is what you make of it. It can be incredibly inane, narcissistic, and trivial, if that's how you choose to use it.

But, it can also be incredibly informative, enlightening, and fun. You can choose which personalities and organizations to follow. I follow a bunch of news organizations from around the world, including many newspapers that I wouldn't normally have time to read, and I think I am better informed because of it.

I also follow a bunch of writers. Just the other day, I had a Twitter conversation with Margaret Atwood. No other social networking site allows that kind of interaction. So, again, Twitter is what you will make of it.

Read the article HUFFINGTON POST/Promoted tweets: Twitter ad program to draw money from corporate advertising

 

APRIL 5, 2010 -- APRIL 11, 2010

WHY ARE WE SINGING THE RECOVERY BLUES?

1936 Harley Davidson Ad, courtesy blog.modernmechanix.com

 

Perhaps the sad reality that the rich get richer and the poor get poorer with the aid of our elected Senators, Congressmen and Presidents is depressing. Perhaps the fact that the United States is a plutocracy has dimmed people's hopes for the future. Perhaps the fact that America doesn't really have a sense of community or true social fabric woven into its core is upsetting.

Perhaps we're all upset that the herculean Wall Street thefts of the rich always seem to be legal while petty stealing is worthy of immediate incarceration. Perhaps the duplicity of life is a bit sickening to those with a sense of right and wrong.

Read the article NEW YORK TIMES/Why so glum? Numbers point to a recovery

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Please remember what Ronald Reagan said, "when your neighbor is unemployed it is a recession and when you are unemployed it is a depression."

We have a very long way to go to get a lot of people back to work. And in the recent recessions, hiring has lagged just about everything else and I expect it will this time as well.

The last big recession in the 80's saw a lot of rust belt industries never come back and there will be industries that do not recover from this one as well.

Until I see my neighbor employed again, in a good job with benefits, I will still consider us to be in recession.

Read the article NEW YORK TIMES/Why so glum? Numbers point to a recovery

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History may prove different this time, as it sometimes has a perverse way of doing.

We're told that up to 3 million more homes will be foreclosed in 2010 and that hundreds of more banks will go under. Many states and local governments are in or near bankruptcy. Public lay-offs and cutbacks will do nothing to sustain a recovery. With somewhere between 16 and 20 million unemployed (depending how you count) it will take quite a few quarters adding 1 million new jobs to get us back to where we were before this Great Recession began. Did we consider the rise in the price of oil as China and India surge ahead?

This is not 1982 when America still had an industrial base and a strong middle class. Poverty is increasing and half of all American children now resort to food stamps to avoid "nutritional insecurity," i.e. hunger. An American born today is three times more likely to live in poverty than a child born in Italy -- and the disparity between the richest and the poorest in America is greater than any other advanced economies outside Singapore and Russia (again depending how you count).

Manhattanites tend to look at numbers -- out here in America we look at vacant shopping centers, empty car lots and boarded up businesses. And we look at American faces that look far from optimistic.

Read the article NEW YORK TIMES/Why so glum? Numbers point to a recovery

FATHER TO SON -- RE-BRANDING THE TIGER

This is so wrong as to be comical. First, Nike has no brand strategy, which is why they risk their fate to celebrities who are only human -- and make the mistakes humans do. Second, celebs only distract from the brand, not enhance it. Third, the ad is not as creepy as it is curious: no message, no sell just more typical Nike obliqueness that says nothing, but paralyzes the public into recognizing that fact.

Have to hand it to Nike on two counts, though: One is for sticking by their investment (Woods) and the other is innovating by using a seance as a selling tool.

Read the article NPR/An ad man on Nike's new Tiger Wood's commercial

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Here is a man, almost preternaturally gifted in his craft, living a life that almost none of us will rise to, seeking reconciliation to the masses through the vehicle of crass commercialism.

Because it would just be too bad if he just had to live on his winnings as a tour golfer - what a shame THAT would be, eh?

Can't have that.

I don't care about Tiger, one way or the other - but maybe, next time, Mr. Millions can pay for his own commercial.

It'd impress me more as far as the genuineness of his intentions go. 

Read the article THE NATION/Tiger the brand, Tiger the Man

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Creepy ? I am not sure about that. Have we all not done something we know is wrong, and the one person who could have gave you the best advice in that situation has passed away. You would have wished to hear what they would have said. I know I am not the only one. He is a celebrity, but a human being first. We all know Tigers father was a huge deal in his life. His voice of reason. The one person who he would have turned to in this situation. I think it is brilliant on Nike's behalf to do this commercial to start cleaning up Tigers image. It shows his vulnerability (his father). I think most people can relate. There is not one person out there who is perfect.

Read the article CNN/Nike releases a statement explaining Tiger Wood's ad

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I think the 'new' Nike ad commercial on Elrick "Tiger" Woods' and his late father is pointed at all of us. What are we doing with our lives and what have we learned ? Have we learned from our mistakes ? Hope so.. You can sure tell that Tiger is still trying to figure things out. This may be a long road for Tiger. Nike sales, marketing and public relations departments were shrewd with this commercial. This is a base for future Nike commercials on Tiger Woods' and Nike products. Smart move on their par t.., especially if Tiger 'wins' the Masters.

Read the article CNN/Nike releases a statement explaining Tiger Wood's ad

 

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I think it was Groucho Marx who said "Sincerity is everything. If you can fake that, you've got it made."

Well, here's one guy who has it made in the shade. Trouble is I don't think everyone is buying this schtick. Tiger's a great golfer - but an actor? Not so much.

Read the article CBC NEWS/What do you think of the commercial?

 

NEW PRESCRIPTION FOR STUDENT LOANS

University of Notre Dame, via Wikipedia

I couldn't be happier still paying off my college loans; there is a world of difference between private v.s federal run loans. From my vantage point, I have been extremely impressed by the efficiency and flexibility of the Federal Direct Loan Program. I was amazed how poorly run some of the private lenders are; the efficiency of the Federal Loan Program puts them to shame.

When I was fresh out of college, had a mountain of student loan debt, and making little money the Federal Loan Program was willing to work within my budget while the Private Loans tried to squeeze every penny they could out of me. My private loans were no better than dealing with a local loan shark.

Federal Loans are still making a healthy profit off my interest payments and I do not cringe when I write them my monthly check as opposed to my Sallie Mae and AES payments.

Read the article POLITICO/President Obama takes final steps on health reform


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Can anyone name one Government run program that has come in under budget than advertised and is run efficiently? Didn't think so. This is another bad move by the Obama Administration. We are giving more and more control over our lives to the government. When are people going wake up and see that our Country is becoming more and more of a socialist nation. These jerks in Washington are mortgaging our future and our kids future. Government regulation and involvement should be put in place when the private sector fails and only when it fails.

Yeah, the feds took over Student Loans. Who is taking on the issue of how expensive higher education is? Most kids are in debt for a decade or more after college. Let the private sector work as it has in the past. This country was built on it. We need capitalism, we need Rich people, because I've never received a job from a poor person.......have you?

Please, to the young Americans who will be running our country someday, Please understand that the Government does not know better. Please understand that politicians make decisions and are influenced based on the question of..."will this help my reelection?". The government has forgot who they work for. It's time to remind them.

Read the article ATLANTIC ONLINE/Three cheers for new student lending law

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A true "shake-up of the student-loan marketplace" would consist not of a government takeover, but government entirely terminating its involvement. Let colleges and universities themselves cope with financing their consumers. Thanks to government subsidies, too many unqualified students go to college, too many fail, tuition is inflated, and professors live in a protected cocoon of tenure.

Read the article WALL STREET JOURNAL/Obama signs healthcare-fix, student loan bill

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Until I retired recently, I was Senior V.P. in charge of lending at a large bank. Back in the 70's and 80's when there were strict regulations on what banks could and could not do, banks made good profits, and few failed. When the feds opened the doors to do almost anything they wanted, the crooks took over, and treated the banks as if they were their own piggy banks. It was "make a quick buck for themselves", (the directors) and no concern for the long-term health of the banks or safety of the depositor's money.


As a life-long Republican, nobody hates government interference more than I do. However, where the banks are concerned, the crooks have taken over, and some basics of control has to be re-instituted. If you want proof, look at what happened on Wall Street. The student loan program has been abused, and even with the government taking it over, abuse will still happen. However, I do believe it will be better than what is happening now.

Read the article ATLANTIC ONLINE/Three cheers for new student lending law

 

MARCH 29, 2010 -- APRIL 4, 2010

U.K. TIMES TO GO BEHIND THE GREAT PAYWALL OF LONDON

A wounded British officer reading The Times's report of the end of the Crimean war, in John Everett Millais' painting Peace Concluded.  via Wikipedia

 

The history and purpose of the Internet has been the free flow of information. No newspaper "has" to be on the Internet. They "want" to be.

I've worked in the ad industry 24 years. Newspapers could give their paper away for what they charge in ad rates and still be profitable. The digital/Internet age has swept in many changes, including communication and production, that have greatly reduced costs.

There's an old saying "today's news wraps tomorrow's fish". Pay for news that has ads on every page? I'll pass.

Read the article THE SUN/The Times they are a charging

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It is a sign of things to come though.....as time goes by more and more sites will charge.

I get a chuckle every time I read about some company trying to apply 19th century principles to 21st century problems and technology.

Read the article CBC NEWS/U.K. Times to charge for web content

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Sure, there are plenty of online sources for national and world news. But the only major source of local news is newspapers who should have never put their product online for free. All that did was cause people to cancel print subscriptions in droves to save money.

Newspapers pay millions of dollars in reporter's salaries and other expenses to investigate and report stores and employee countless local citizens. Why on Earth should they be expected to give their "product" away online for free and die a slow death?

Read the article ABC NEWS/U.K.'s Times newspapers to charge for web access



THE SOMALI PIRATES' BUSINESS MODEL -- CLASS A OR CLASS B SHAREHOLDER?

Somali Pirates, via Wikipedia, from U.S. Navy image

There is clearly a lot of intelligence and sound management in these operations. Because they have been characterized by very little violence against the captured crews, as far as I can tell from news reports, we don't see massive military action being taken against the pirates.

While this hardly condones their actions, it is remarkable, especially in contrast with the incredibly violent ongoing horror of the Mexican drug wars and behavior of the drug cartels. I expect that there will be massive escalation by the US and Mexico against the latter, with the goal of their physical eradication by all possible means.

If the Somali pirates continue their hostilities in a way that focuses on money and not mayhem, they may succeed in making it a very long-term business. But -- where is that money going? Schools, medicine, clinics, education? Or weapons, drugs, and prostitution?

Read the article U.N.DISPATCH/The Somali pirates' business model

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They are not "driven" to piracy. They engage in it because its VERY lucrative, and the risks are LOW.
There is no law enforcement on land - and at sea, they know the international forces have their hands tied behind their back. So the return on investment is pretty damn good.

There is not much we can do about law enforcement on land - but I'm sure if international forces declared a free-fire zone in the waters off Somalia, piracy would stop overnight.

Read the article U.N.DISPATCH/The Somali pirates' business model

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Is it surprising they have a system? Thought that was part of the idea behind "organized" crime.

I live in Nairobi. Not sure if I have seen any of the pirates around these parts. There are however quite a few wealthy Somalis. Guess you could say that the trickle down effect is boosting Kenya's economy. These guys spend their money on land, houses, vehicles and loads of other stuff.

I spoke with a Kenyan Somali living here. He mentioned that an interesting effect of the piracy in regards to the Somali coast is that a lot of the fish have come back. The pirates have scared off all the foreign fishing boats. Not sure if this can be verified or not.

Read the article BOINGBOING/Profit sharing arrangement among Somali pirates.

 

REACTING TO GOOGLE'S CHINA SYNDROME

I was initially cynical about Google's motives when they first mentioned doing this. However, now that they have indeed walked the walk, I have changed my mind.

And its silly to believe Google is doing this because they are behind "Baidu". Yeah, they are trailing Baidu, but gaining by the year, and even in 2nd place, its a lot of money. The simplest explanation is the most likely one. They entered thinking that China could only open up from that point, but the opposite has happened. That, combined with the hacking, etc. has made doing business there a lot harder, rather than easier (as they, and many others, expected).

Read the article ARS TECHNICA/Google sends China users to Hong Kong for uncensored results

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As part of the "new" (read: current) constitution of HK (Hong Kong Basic Law), China agreed to allow Hong Kong to have autonomy in pretty much everything except foreign affairs and defense for 50 years after the 1997 hand-off. So in theory, China doesn't have any 'control' over HK affairs. So they can't exactly 'crack down' on Google HK without going against the constitution and definitely upsetting (the already mostly anti-PRC) 7 million HK people.

Of course, in reality, there is a heavy PRC-presence in the HK government and they can definitely nudge the hk govenment in subtle and non-explicit ways to do things. But to do so without a political upset in a hk already filled with political dissent would require guile from the PRC that they seem to lack in hk politics.

It would be a lot easier for the PRC to just add the google hk domain to the great firewall of china blacklist.

Of course, google and china are just playing a game right now, so the whole redirect to google hk might just be a bluff.

Read the article ARS TECHNICA/Google sends China users to Hong Kong for uncensored results

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What we have here is an attempt by Google to politicise business in the interests of their own future profit. Whilst Google's motivations may seem altruistic, they are in fact ultimately driven by commercial success and hence share value and little if anything else. Whenever a commercial enterprise enters a foreign market it is bound by the laws of that market. It has no place being there if it is not willing to operate within the laws of any foreign market.

Whether or not you and I sanction the laws or political motivations of any foreign country is wholly irrelevant.

I certainly do not support the Chinese government or the way it operates. Quite the opposite in fact. I fully understand and support the need for pressure to be put on the Chinese government in respect of human rights and other such matters, however politicising business matters, such as Google are doing here is not the way to address such matters. This is more about Google future share value that it is anything else.

At the end of the day, China does not need to hop into bed with Google and Google knows this, hence we have yet to see Google fulfil it's threat to pull out of China.

Finally, for those of you not yet old enough to wear the t-shirt of the seasoned cynic, you do not get to be big in business by doing no evil. 

Read the article THE REGISTER/Google redirects China to uncensored Hong Kong servers

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Google is an independent entity, and they have certain values that may conflict with those of the Chinese government. I am glad that Google is standing by its values, as they should. I do not believe in censorship. I believe that the Chinese people have the right to full access to the same search results that we have access to in most of the rest of the world. I really don't see what the debate is about. Censorship is a kind of imprisonment, and is a violation of human rights. If Google is dedicated to the free and open sharing of information, then how can they continue to operate in a context where this is not permitted?

Read the article

NEW YORK TIMES/ China counters Google move by restricting Hong Kong site

 

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I am an American professor living in China. I rarely run into the firewall, even when I am looking up info on Tiananmen. English sites are rarely blocked. It was not always that way. Some years ago many news sites were blocked, even HP for a while. But that all ended a couple years ago. I think the blocking is much more targeted today. I have VPN service if I need to get past blocking, but is is rarely needed except for facebook and porn.

The biggest way they block is by selling a cheap internet service - basically free to students, that accesses only Chinese sites. If they want to go on the WWW, they pay more.

I am amused that they have long blocked the DNC site, while leaving the RNC site open. I think they like RNC values better at the Communist Party Headquarters.

Read the article HUFFINGTON POST/Google China News Updates

 

 

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